Fantasy Flex
Fantasy Flex

Episode · 2 months ago

Best Ball Strategy Guide

ABOUT THIS EPISODE

Best Ball Mania III is underway and here to give you some strategy and tips for Best Ball leagues are fantasy football experts Chris Raybon and Sean "The Oddsmaker" Koerner.  

In this episode they'll break down:

  • How to construct your roster through positional depth and upside
  • Which players are best suited for Best Ball formats and why
  • Which teams and player stacks to target

Be sure to rate and review this podcast for a chance to win a free 1-year subscription to Action Pro. The guys will be back next Wednesday to put their strategy to the test for a Best Ball Mock draft. 

Now let's get theis shmoney!

The most valuable commodity I know of his information, wouldn't you agree? I got five dollars. This is a regular left one man. You're saying that humans need fantasy to make my sparrible. Humans need fantasy to be my goodness, guys prone the best, relentless, refutely to give up. I hit that Horn there. What's up, everybody, and welcome to the fantasy flex podcast. I'm your host, Chris Raybon, joined by my dude and one of the top fantasy rancors in the world, Sean Turner, and today we are talking best ball. Sean, what's going on? How you feeling about besketball? You've got a bunch of teams in already. Oh Yeah, I've been. I've been cranking away. Um, although this week it is Scott Fishball Week. Are you even in it this year? I'm not gonna play in it. Okay, every year I I joined it and then like, I just kind of I'm not fully paying attended to the draft and I'm not fully paying attention to my team and it's like such, it's like the one league that's so different from every other league. So, yeah, I'm gonna just at this one out. Yeah, thank you. We're around seven. It's been a few days around seven, so we're trying to you know, slowly here, but I love it. I love the variety of the different strategy. But, Um, I outside of this. Yeah, I've been really focused on bestball. Have quite a few teams. So happy to dive in on our best ball tips. Yeah, I mean I've been. I've been drafting since like March, so I'm ready to go before we jump in and we're gonna give you guys some tips before we even get started, like on best ball generally. Then we're gonna jump into players from each position that we like and we're gonna close it out with something that a lot of people always asked about, which is stacked. So we'll each give two of our favorite stacks that you're gonna get players, you're gonna get stacks, you're gonna get tips, everything you need to crush it in bestball this season. Before we get going, just want to remind you guys, uh, leave us a five star rating and review if you enjoy the POD and because we're calling out our favorite five star review right here on the show, and the winner gets a free year of an action network pro subscription. This week's winner is I t guru. We really appreciate the kind words. I grew eight. Hit Up PODCAST AT ACTION NETWORK DOT COM to claim your free year of Action Network pro again. That's I t guru. All right, let's jump right in to our tips. Sean, get US started here. What are what are you kind of looking at in terms of strategy when you're approaching bestball? So I mean the overall tip you should take away is your your main goal in best ball is to maximize the ceiling of your team. So all three of tips will stem from this. And the reason for that is, unlike, you know season long head to head formats, were every week you just need to outscore your one opponent, in best ball you have to outscore your entire league. So, Um, you're gonna want to be more risky, go for upside. So that's my first tip. Is You want to target players that have built in upside and or high variant players. So by built in upside, uh, you can get creative on what that means to you. Um, but usually when I think of built an upset, I think of rookies. Um, since the range of outcomes is fairly large in the interer of the League, we don't really know how good or bad they will be. Um Entering the league. So they by nature they have some pretty built in upside. Um. Or running backs like Tony Pollard, who is explosive enough to have spike weeks even when Zeke as healthy. But his built in upside is he's a top five running back if Zeke word ever missed time. Um, or players who could break out after disappointing rookie season. So guys like Trevor Lawrence, Zach Wilson, Kadarius, Tony Um, basically anybody that can significantly outscore their ADP. So you've got to get creative and, you know, looking at guys that have built an upside. And by high variance players I just mean players who are vulnatable week to week, Um, where they can post a gigantic score one week and maybe the next week they put up a dud. Think of wide receivers like deshawn Jackson, Tyler Lockett, will fuller or mark has delda's scantling, you know, those big play thret type of guys. Um, and and the reason is I mean whenever they have a dud, you're not gonna get their score, but when they have a big week, you get it and you don't need to figure out what week that will be. Um. So that's the beauty of best ball and that's why those types of players are more valuable. Yeah, I really like that one. Um. You know that. I mean this is what best ball is all about. You know, that's a great breakdown of how you got to look at the stealings. Um. So I totally I think that's the number one thing people who have to take away from it. UH, my first tip is don't handcuff, Um, and this is something that...

...if you're kind of more familiar or you started out playing just traditional redraft, you know you might spend a high pick on a running back. You want some insurance, Um, you start handcuffing, or maybe you do something like, you know, a Camara and ingram or something like that, Murray, and I know it was in the years past as well, but in bestball, you know, to your point, you're trying to maximize your ceiling here. So you have to think of kind of telling a story with your lineup and looking at how things will play out over a full year. And so if you draft a running back early and you know you don't have, you shouldn't need to handcuff them. If you have to handcuff that running back, your team is probably already sunk, because that's just the nature of bestball. That's why with bestball you're you're usually drafting, you know, maybe hundred, even more teams, depending on how you know, how much of a degenerate you are, but you're really playing a long game. You're playing the exposure game, you're playing the portfolio game and so on. An individual Ross there. You know, if I have Aaron Jones, I don't want a J dillon. If I have a J dealon, I don't want Aaron Jones. You know, I don't even want like Benny Snell, if I have Nagi Harris, because I need to maximize every roster slot for upside and doing you know, handcuffing is just going to essentially it's gonna raise my floor, but it's going to lower my ceiling and we're instead, I'm essentially using two slots for one, uh you know, kind of one startable player, where I need to do that per slot. I can't use two slots on UN one startable players. So, Um, don't not handcuffing. I think it's really important and, you know, to a lesser extent, just in general kind of not really rostering those reverse correlations, like you don't really want to do quarterback running back on the same team, Um, and things like that. Obviously you can stack. Will talk about that. I think you're gonna talk about that next. But um not handcuffing is a big one for me. Yeah, I love that called because you know, cuffing it can be a decent strategy and head to head, because you're trying to raise your team's floor. But in best ball it's go big or go home, baby. So why? You know, mitigate your risk by doing that. So I love that call. Um. So tip number two for me, Um, is, you know, stacking one to three pass catchers with one to three of your quarterbacks. So you know, by doing this you significantly raise your weekly and overall ceiling of your team. So you're gonna have, you know, two to four players every week where if they have a spike game, that's gonna correlate with each other, Um, and this could also correlate over the course of the season. So if you take jared goff as your qb and he finishes as a qb twelve, it's very likely that Alman Rensley Brown, e j hockenson other lions players probably outperformed their ADP as well. Like that's how golf had a good season. Um. Therefore, if you draft like an Alman Ross St Brown and a TJ Hockenson earlier in the draft, you should absolutely sort of go out of your way to get Jared Goff Um, and I'm not saying take him a couple rounds earlier than you should go. But if you're in kind of like a toss up situation, you should obviously kind of go with stacking your players. So, Um, I kind of used the first few rounds to dictate which offenses I might want to stack. Or later on you can get some pretty cheap stacks, which we'll talk about. But this is another sneaky way to really raise the ceiling of your team. Yeah, and that's that's probably you know, I like to do it with this, like all of my quarterbacks. If I can, I usually draft two. So, like, yeah, like, I I totally agree. I've try to do it, is like with pass catching as much as I can and then just try to build a good running back core around here that that isn't correlated, you know, to the to the path passing games. I guess you could say that I'm stacking. Um, my tip number two is aimed for sixteen full games of upside, or just the maximum amount of games of upside you can get. And what I mean by that is any game that a player is going to be uh, you know, in a starting role, in a major role, is what I consider, you know, maximizing a game of upside. So this applies in a lot of different ways. For one means I don't want to draft players that are coming into the season injured. You know, we talked about this a lot and even in redraft. I'm not a big fan of it, um, but it's it's something like bestball. It's like I don't want who's gonna Miss Two Games from suspension. I don't want a guy that's gonna Miss Games to start the season. Yes, I know that. You know those guys. They're not gonna count to my roster early in the year. But Um, we gotta REMEMBER THEY'RE gonna they're gonna be volatile even once they return from injuries. So they're still not gonna give me. It's not like they're just guaranteed to give me all startable weeks, even once they come back. You know guys I'm I'm thinking about Michael Gallup, I'm thinking about Chris Godwin, you know, maybe stirring shepherd, maybe Michael Thomas, guys like that. Um, I really don't want to kind of invest in those guys because of the uncertainty,...

...because I don't want to give up games, because games are so important in bestball. You only have a fixed number of roster spots and you cannot, I are somebody if they're hurt. You cannot drop somebody if they're hurt. So I need sixteen games. And when I say sixteen, because you know seven weeks, eighteen is in counting. So I know it's a seventeen game season, but I'm saying sixteen games of upside. And it supplies at quarterback as well, because that what I see a lot of people doing, and I think you know even I've made this mistake in the past of kind of drafting a quarterback that you know could win the starting job at some point in the year. I really don't think you need to do that in Bestball, Um, unless you really think that quarterback has a chance to start like a week two. You know, like like it's because if, like, I'd rather get like a jared off somebody that's kind of guaranteed to start all year, then you know, taking a chance and like a desmon ridder or somebody like that, or even the opposite side of it of a Marcus Mary Oda, who we don't know if he would start. You know, he might have some big weeks while he's in there, but can he keep that job all season? So I like to take the unsexy kind of guys that are are more kind of locked in to their starting roles. You know that Jared Goff, Zack Wilson, can't really see any reason why he would be benched, um, even if he's really bad. You know, guys like that, because I'm really relying on my two be one to give me a lot of production, and so Myke Qb two, I just need him to make sure that he's given me solid production when my quarterback wanted on by and just giving me a little bit more, uh, you know, of a chance on on weeks my quarterback one might be average, Um, and so I just need the games again. So Um, aimed for your sixteen full games of a season. UH, and try to maximize their upside that way. Don't give away games, don't give away potential. You know bench you know Zeros just because the guy's not even in the starting lineup. Um. So that's how I play it. Yeah, I love that, Cole, and you know this. This is a strategy I do use sort of in season long formats, because I always say if if I draft album camaronies out the first six games, I could probably survive that. And I'm really just trying to maximize my my team's ceiling in the fantacy playoff and I think I can still make the playoffs even with the album Kamearra. But, like you said, in best well, every single week counts, Um, so you don't want to forfeit games unless and you're one of those tournaments, you know, the Million Dollar Grand Prize or something. Maybe in those formats you are trying to maximize the last few weeks. But yeah, great advice. Um. And then, you know, for my third and final tip, it's all about roster construction. I think that's your third tip too, right. So we could probably just go through each position. Um, just saying kind of like how we approach it in general like every draft is gonna be different. Um, but you know, when it comes to your average, you know, draft three, draft eighteen players start. One quarterbacks start, two running backs, three wide receivers, one tight end, one flex. I like to draft two quarterbacks. Um, you know, like you said, you run it. You want to draft two quarterbacks that you can project safely for sixty and more games. Um. So I don't get crazy there. You don't have to draft early. You just want to good quarterbacks. Um, I rarely take three. Sometimes, Um, you know, if you take a gamble on a guy like you said, like I wouldn't do it, but a Mitch Drubisky, a player you can't bank on starting the whole season, you're gonna have to take another quarterback. Or if you screw up and take two qbs out the same bye week, you gotta take a third quarterback. But in general I try to draft two exactly. And I would I would just add on to that and like if I'm drafting a miss true whisky a week one starter that doesn't have job security. Marcus Mariota is another one I think that comes to mind. MAB whoever starts in Seattle, as well. Um, still drafting to quarterbacks, because what I'm saying is that, okay, this is a bet on Marcus mariota starting seventeen games, this is a bet on miss mitched true sky, and it's a low risk you know it's it's kind of like a low risk bet. You know it's it's a QB two. Obviously things can go wrong, maybe maybe he loses his job in week eight, but you still have a qb one. That should be decent enough to still carry you through those weeks. So I'm actually I really because I think a lot of times what can happen is you can compound the issue too, like if, let's say you hit on Mitch drab whisky right like, then you don't need that third quarterback, right I. So I I actually always um kind of draft two quarterbacks and just treat it as a bet. Now, I don't like to go there, but if I do, that's what I'm gonna do, because I think if I if I hit on true if I hit him my qb one, and I hit on Dru whisky or Mariota, then that third roster spot is wasted. So I'm I'm actually a pretty strict to qb guy. Yeah, well, to be honest, when you're drafting whisky like like, there's not not much else you can do. But I agree that that kind of goes with the go bigger, go home aspect. And you could you could do the other way,...

...a guy like Desmond Ritter, who probably won't start week one, but he has the potential to start earlier in the season. So your first quarterback would have to carry you until they're bye week and then you're kind of banking on Ritter having the starting drop by then. So you can go both ways, but either way it definitely goes with the go big or go home strategy that you should have when you're drafting in best ball. Yep, yeah, so, yeah, so running backs, Um, I typically like to draft about five exactly, Um, and and head to head formats. You know me, like I like to have my entire bench full of just, you know, high upside backup running backs ready to go. But you can't do that in best ball, like you said, you know, if you have Alexander Madison on your team, Um, and he's turned out zero points, that's useless. Um. So he'll only provide you value if and when Dalvin Cook miss his time. That's a bit dicey and Best Ball. I certainly think you could draft one of those players, but you want to draft three to five running backs that you can kind of count on, you know, at least ten games of production each. Doesn't mean you need to draft them early. Um, I don't think you need to draft three running backs really early in the draft, but you've gotta be smart about it and typically if you draft five running backs, Um, and you're smart about it, that should be fine. I don't when you draft more than that, you're kind of just lowering your team ceiling a little bit. Um, you could draft, you know, three or four and just be super aggressive. That's one way to do it, but in general I think five is the magic number for me. Yeah, the same way I'm I'm pretty strict on raster construction with with that, so I'll get into it more. But uh, I totally agree. And then you know, wide receiver. I think this is the position you want to build out the most depth. Um. So I typically have seven to eight wide receivers. Sometimes I go to ten depending on how things are going. But you know, wide receivers are pretty volatile, Um, week to week. So since you have to start three of them each week. It's it's smart to have a lot of different options, Um, and any excess high scores that you have can be used in your flex. So just having a ton of righte receivers is just a good strategy in general, and that's a position I do like to target early on. You know, we talked about it's it's really hard to kind of hit on these lower end receivers later in the draft. Um, it's it's really hard for them to really step up in terms of a running back. You know, a backup running back just needs one injury and then can, you know, become an rb one or rb two. Wide Receiver, it's a little bit more difficult. So I do like to invest early and often in wide receiver because you really want to fill out, you know, seven to nine wide receivers in most builds. Yeah, totally, that's like that's that's the position that matters the most because it's it's you're not gonna find those like those like a third backup running back is not gonna like in West somebody gets hurt. They they're not gonna give you like one of those big games you need for best ball, whereas like a third or fourth receiver could so like those. Those draft picks are important to like later on in the draft. I think a lot of people are just kind of going through the motions sometimes, but those picks are really important. Yep, absolutely. And then tight end. Um, you know, I think two to three makes sense. Um, you know, maybe you want to get a top five or seven tight end early and then you can get two cheaper ones later. But the tight end position is sort of touchdown dependent, which does bow Gol. For Best Ball you don't need to kind of figure out when a guy like a hunter Henry will score a touchdown. You just get the spiked weeks when they happened. So it's kind of Nice in that regard. Um, you know, tight end to three kind of guys can be frustrating and season long weeks, but in best ball it's pretty easy to kind of have a nice little two to three tight end Combo where you don't really need to spend up for two of them. Um. So I'd probably like to spend up for one and then just try to find two diamonds in the rough. So I I usually end up a two to three tight ends. How about you? Yeah, I'm usually going for two. It's kind of the same. It's kind of the same strategy thing as quarterbacks, where it's like I'm really rely on my peep tight end number one. You know, if I, if I, if I'm a tight end number one, I'm probably not winning a best ball week right. You know, it's just like so my tight end two is just kind of give me, you know, not no tight end is gonna have like every single week. UH, startuple weeks. So just trying to get through and kind of covers for some of those, you know, a few down weeks that they do have in the bye week. Um, if I taking a third one, because tight ends average fewer points than any other position, I just feel like it's kind of it's kind of the same thing. It's taking like a third quarterback. It's like you shouldn't need it. If you do, you're probably not in a position to win your league anyway, which means you don't need it. so Um that that kind of goes into my third tip, which is I'm actually pretty strict. Two quarterback to tight end. And but my my advice on top of that is go into the last two rounds of the draft, like make sure even if you do, Um, differ a little bit in in your philosophy and maybe you do want a third Titan, maybe you do want a third quarterback. Definitely don't take that player, but four the last two rounds. Like I always have that maximum...

...roster flexibility, Um, going into the last few rounds. So you can look at your roster and say, if you do have to, you know, deviate from the norm, but your roster construction you have the flexibility to do it based on what you've built so far. So let's say, you know, let's say, like you said, sometimes you can do four running backs. Like if I, if I took running backs and rounds one through four, maybe let's say I'm I'm counting on those guys. Like I have four guys in the top four rounds. I probably don't need that running back five. So I don't want to like take a you know, take some guy in the fourteenth round just to have that fifth running back. If I if I'm if I know that I'm going to get to the like round seventeen and eighteen and say, hey, you know what, maybe I don't need another running back. Maybe because I waited till the fifth round take a receiver. Maybe I want to go with, you know, eight receivers instead of or nine receivers here in this spot. So I think, Um, I think kind of maintaining your roster flexibility with an eye on is being able to maximize your receivers, as you mentioned, Um, is key, because I think so you don't want to have too many quarterbacks. You don't want to more than two quarterbacks, you don't have more than two tight ends and you definitely don't want to have more than five running backs. I've taken six on occasion, but I don't want to go into the last two rounds with Um, with with sick. You know, I want to have that opportunity to look at my roster and say, you know, I'm sitting there and I have the choice between maybe a running back or a receiver, and I say, okay, maybe this team is like fourth wide receiver, like maybe I can get like a guy like I don't know, like on a on a really good passing team, and get their like third or fourth wide receiver cheap and I already have the quarterback. I'm saying, okay, this might actually give my line up more upside here than, uh, you know, just taking another running back who I don't think it's really going to be useful anyway, or something like that. Or so I always always have that flexibility, Um, and just build the core of your team kind of early and then leave those last couple of rounds, uh, you know, for maximum flexibility. Don't kind of paint yourself into a corner with with, you know, two, three quarterbacks, three tight ends, you know, too many running backs or anything like that. Yeah, exactly. Alright. Let's UH, let's jump into UH each position and we'll just talk briefly about a player that we kind of like, particularly for Best Ball, Um, a k a uh guy we expect to be a little bit high variants or high ceiling or both. Um Sean. START US out with quarterback. So obviously on my our last plot, I made a very clear jalen hurts is my main QV target and all formats. He's phenomenal for best ball. But I did notice that Tom Brady, his a DP is slipping a bit in bestball. His A DP is down to qb ten Um, and I think people are correct and sort of downgrading him. With Antonio Brown, Rob Gronkowski being gone, Chris Godman Godwin might not be available in the first few games. Arians and pro bowl left guard Eli Mar pet retired. There's a lot of things to be concerned about. But you know, he might not put up the same numbers as last year but he'll still be good. And just because he doesn't have rushing upside doesn't mean that Brady doesn't have weekly upside. He was the QB two and best ball points added last year. Um, he's gonna get a ton of free touchdown games, four hundred yard passing games, so he does have a high weekly ceiling. But also I think this offense is gonna be much cheaper to stack this year and more concentrated. I'll talk about later when we talk about the stacks, but you know, Mike Evans should have a big year. Um, Russell Gauge, could you know? Still on the Antono Brown roll? Brown roll can't break. Its gonna step in for grounds. I think this offense as a whole is gonna be cheaper a stack, starting with Tom Brady at qb ten. Yeah, I mean it just seems silly and I think you know, I kind of want us to get some angry Tom this year because, you know, I don't know if you've been reading ESPN has been doing like the they kind of interview a bunch of personnel executives and and and people around the weakue and get these top ten lists of each position. In and for quarterback, Tom Brady was fourth. He was behind Rogers, mahomes and Josh Allen. So like I think we could get some angry town this year, you know, like he's qb fuller in those rankings, he's QB ten and in fantasy, like the disrespect is crazy right now. This might be his last season, so that's even more motivation, right. Yeah, and I mean he retired and came back, so he's clearly got the urge. Like he's not, you know, he's not satisfied yet. So yeah, exactly. Um, yeah, anytime you can get the guy like qb ten who has like to to be one overall, and you know, quarterback score the most point. So therefore like fantasy number one overall, UM, upside. I think I think you'd take it. Ye, for me, Daniel Jones, uh, he's the qb twenty one in basketball ADP. I talked about this on a few pods here, but he was eighteen and points per game and one quarterbacks last year he had, you know, about under thirty percent of the time he had a twenty one...

...plus point game, but then there was a big gap where the rest of his games were sixteen, you know, sixteen and a half points. Their fewer. So, you know, betting on Daniel Jones this year the line is better. Uh, you know, they he should have healthier receivers. They got another kind of explosive guy in Wan Dale Robinson Um. So I think you're just kind of betting that. You know that that gap. You know. I think he's still gonna have that gap and have some some of those bad games, but just kind of betting on the percentage of good Games um kind of increases under, you know, Brian Dable in this new coaching regime. You know, we saw uh dable do the same thing for Josh Allen and Buffalo and even Daniel Jones. Like we've seen Daniel Jones put up some high upside performances. You know, his rookie year he had three games with four or more touchdown passes. Um, he had a he had a few three hundred plus yard games and we know he could do it with his legs as well. So there's a lot of different ways that we've already seen Daniel Jones produced upside in this league and now I think, Um, you could take a very low risk bet on him doing so again at a higher equip that he has in the past few years. And what was just a bad situation. Yeah, he was gonna been. I picked if it wasn't Tom Brady, and he fits my number one tip. You know, a player with built in upside and high variants. Obviously he's gonna have some duds. Were well aware of that, but he has some massive upside. You know, he can have some flukey games throwing the ball. You know a few touchdowns and he has pretty significant rushing upside. Uh So in this you know, new scheme, under dable. The Sky's limit for him. So love getting him outside of the top twenty for sure. All right, let's jumped to run back. Who You got? Uh, it's cream hunt and he's really the ideal running back and basically all formats. In the middle rounds, I always say he a j dillon, Tony Polar are those kind of guys I really like to target in the middle rounds. But in Best Ball, you know his ADP is running back thirty. That's highway robbert. I mean he will probably outscore that. Um, even if Nick Chubb is healthy all season, cream hunt. Hell, he was the RD eight after six games last year when Nick Chubb was fully healthy. Um, and then if and when Chubb were to miss time, cream hunt is probably gonna be a top five running backs. So that's that's what I'm talking about. What built in upside. He's gonna have spiked weeks no matter what, but he can have some really spiked weeks if Chubb or to Miss Time. And also, you know, they might have to start Jacoby Brissette for the first four, maybe all seventeen games this year, depending on Deshaun Watson. Um. So they could be an even more run heavy team and they do like to limit Chub, you know, fifteen to seventeen carries a game. So creame hunt could see a pretty big workload, um, even when they're both healthy and there's a chance to get traded. Uh, and he would end up in a situation where he'd be probably a bit work course back there. So there's a lot of angles and out to hunt just crushing his a D P, a RB, thirty and bestball. Yeah, and one of his biggest assets and you know, kind of goes unto the radar. You know, we're not talking about as much, but that Cleveland old line is one of the best in the league. Some people would argue it is the best. I mean, I know they're the only you know, they're kind of replacing the center, Um, Nick Harris, but Nick Harris graded out pretty well in in pro football focus. Um, you know in the limit of time that he's been in action and you know so there's nothing to suggest that he will kind of be a a major week. Wink. And then they got jeddrick wills and batonio Teller Conklin at the other four spots. So Um, you know there's gonna be hopes for Kareem hunts to run through. Uh. For my running back, I'm going to Damien Harris. You know, he's a guy that in regular redraft I'm actually a little bit down on. But I think he's actually perfect for best ball because, number one, he's got that breakaway ability. Like he had thirty three point three percent of his runs come on break you know, come on breakaways, which was fifth in the League, and then he had five one yard games in fifteen overall games plays. So about one third of the time he's breaking a hundred yards. He also had multiple touchdowns and tent of his games. So He's a guy that week to week and these are the kind of guys I like in Best Ball. Two at running back. Like week to week he's gonna be depending on game script, but he has huge upside whenever they have good game script. The Patriots should be pretty solid in year two of Mac Jones and so you don't have to worry about those games where maybe he only carries like ten times for thirty yards because the Patriots fall behind early on in the game. But when the Patriots having good Games, you know, even if Stevenson does kind of cut into his workload, usually when the Patriots are rolling they can support two running backs in like in like a win like. The Patriots are one of the more high scoring teams in the week last year. That's why Damien Harris had such a big year Um and why I think he's getting a little overdrafted in some formats. But he's perfect for best ball. I was you know, another guy thought about was Rashad Penny, but I think Harris actually has a little bit firmer grip on the on the starting job just because of his success last year. Um, you know, over and over a kind of...

...a longer period of time than penny, who they Pete Carroll always seems to try to like phase out, and they drafted Ken Walker obviously. So, Um, I like Damian, you know, don't love him in redraft, but I do like him in bestball. Yep, I love it. He's a high variance player. At anytime you have a guy that's more touchdown and game script dependent, they're going to be more volatile. So yeah, I love Harris, is more of a best ball up and where he can be kind of a headache and trying to figure out when he's gonna go off bestball. It doesn't matter, you're gonna get those spike weeks no matter what. Yeah, and there's a few other guys that fit that mold. I mean penny, I think, is one. Sure, Elijah Mitchell comes to mind as well, like all those guys that in redraft you kind of like, no, I don't know, kind of frozen pond. Yeah, that bestball. Is that the pond is. We could. We could, we can skate on a frozen pond in best let's go to wide receiven we got. So I mentioned earlier, but MARKSDALDA's scantling is sort of the poster child for an ideal best ball wide receiper. I mean he's a deep threat, so that in itself means he's gonna be pretty volatible. You know, some weeks he'll go off for three catches, a hunt yards and two touchdowns. The next week he'll have zero catches. That doesn't matter in best ball. You don't need to figure out when that will happen. Um. And you know he had a bit of a down year last year, battling various injuries, and he's still manage to finish forty six and best ball points added per game. Uh, for whiteouts that played nine games or more. Um. So. And you know he's going from the packers the chiefs, which isn't exactly a downgrade. He could be pastrick homes main deep threat, which is pretty valuable in itself, and apparently he's been pretty impressive in camp so far. So you know he could be even more than just deep threat in this offense, which will help his his weekly four. But either way he's gonna come loaded with massive upside every single week. So even those adps a bit steep in best ball at wide resuper forty four I think gets warranted. And you know he's, like I said, he's a guy. You don't need to figure out when he's gonna have a good week and best ball. You just get them. Yeah, and I mean not that we believe in puff pace season, but at least the at least the puff pieces are there for scantling. I've heard good things about Valdes scantling coming out of camp. A lot of people are saying he looks like he's the guy that stands out the most. That's not he's yeah, he's talented, he's fast. Like I get that sometimes the puff pieces can be out of control, but I kind of figured MPs would fit right in in Kansas City. For me, I'm going, and this is crazy. So Marcus Valda scantling is a wide receiver, um so, and he's obviously the poster child here, but I could get Tyler Lockett, wellide receiver, forty seven, three spots after mvs. I know that, you know, Baker mayfields out of the running for the Seattle quarterback and that's why those these guys are in free fall. But tyroll Lockett, like all right, first of all, five yard games last year Seattle is gonna be at I don't you know. I don't think that they're gonna be great on defense. I don't think they're gonna be able to run the ball at time. They're gonna have to be thrown at some point. And you know tyroll Lockett, even with Russell Wilson not at his best last year and misses some games, Tyler Lockett outscored in terms of points per game and half PPR guys like Keenan Allen, deandre Hopkins, Hunter, Renfro, Jamen waddle, DK metcalf, Dede Lamb, a j brown, Brandon Cooks, Michael Pittman, D J Moore, a monros St Brown and Marie Cooper. Like Tyro locket, it wasn't like he didn't just fall off a cliff. The quarterback situation is not ideal, but Um, I just think this is this is not a situation where it's just crazy disrespect. He's gonna be a high variance guy, obviously now without Russell Wilson, but all the tools are still there, skill wise, uh, and target wise, because he's really it's just him and metcalf really uh. You know, I think you know. Noah Fan obviously will be there at tight end, but I don't think he's factoring in a major way in terms of locket or metcalf targets. So I think those two are gonna be target highs. So wide receiver forty seven for a guy on a bad team that's gonna have to throw Um and a guy who's put up big games in a pass and outscored a bunch of studs as recent as last year and really does it every year. Um, I love it at wide receiver forty seven and I don't have to worry about the Games who Smith or drew lock just overthrows him five times in the same game, because you know I gotta hit wide receiver forty seven exactly. And I mentioned him as one of the high variant spide receivers that are perfect for best ball Um. And Yeah, he had that twelve catch, H hundred, forty two yard game with Gino Smith under center. I think even when drew luck under center, I mean drew luck sucks, he can be he could be a bend slinger. You know drew luck takes risks. Sometimes they're not smart, but that doesn't matter retire locket. So he'll definitely still have spike freaks with either Gino Smith or drew luck under center, and you just get him at a cheaper prices here because of it. So yeah, I love that call as well. And when he does have those like tw weeks,...

...every single point matters. You know, entire Lockton has those forty point games and head to head league. You know you only need to beat your one opponent. So at a certain point you know the forty point game can only help so much, but in best ball every point matters. So when he has us to like massive games, that's huge. So yeah, last year he finished tenth at wide receiver and best ball points added accuorimi metric Um. So yeah, he's he's the perfect type of guy to target in best ball. And let's finish it off with tight ends before we jump into stacks. Who Do you like for best ball at the tight end position? So I think Hunter Henry in that tight end seventeen um range is perfect for best ball because you know he's he's sort of a touchdown dependent, I guess you would say tight end Um. You know he had nine touchdowns last year, which tied for the most at, you know, the tight end position, but he had ten end zone targets which, you know, ranked inside of the top two. So I think they'll be pretty stable this year. He might not score nine, but I think, you know, six to eight might be a safe bet. But also, you know, week the week, Um, towards the end of the season, he was running over routes run um over the last five games and he was the tight end four over that stretch. So he was clearly the main tight end. I think we kind of thought it would be a committee with him and Johnny Smith, but he's he's the man there and if you know, they let Mac Jones air it out a bit more and near too, penry is gonna benefit. So again he's in that that sort of range where, yeah, he might be kind of annoying and head to he's trying to figure out when he's gonna score his touchdown or to a game. So Um, in best ball it doesn't matter. You get those stike peeks no matter what. Yeah, I love Hunter Henry. I think he's undervalued just across the board. And Yeah, this is perfect because I think Mac Jones could take a step forward. Um, and you know, Hunter Henry. For whatever reason it was just a hunter Henry Show lack you like there was no Jonna Smith barely worked in. So I like me some Hunter Henry. I think people should be drafting him, Um, pretty much everywhere. Uh. For me I'M gonna GO Cameron break at tight end, tight end three, and I mean the crazy stat for Cameron Braid that really stands out is he was tied for ninth in the entire National Football League last year in red zone target that was with grounk on the team. That was with the Antonio Brown on the team. Sometimes, that was with Chris Godwin there, that was with Mike Evans there. This dude had twenty red zone targets. That was he had fifte total targets. Funny at all. Like now, and now you're telling me he's gonna get the tight end one snap, that and and, like this is a situation where it's like even I know they got the rookie Kada in there too, but like the likelihood is that if, if God would miss his time by they go to more two tight ends sets. I don't really see breat losing the job this year because of how much they trust him where it matters on the field most. So they essentially use him to maximize his skill set Um, you know, and say, okay, you know, when it's time to score touchdowns, we're gonna WE'RE gonna get camera bred in a game. Because, I mean he had his many I mean this is it's just absurd. He had his many red Z one targets as Mark Andrew. It's just he had his many red zone targets as Justin Jefferson. Really it's Jeffin fucking Jeffers, and no one's going to confuse Cambre with Kyle Pitts in terms of talent. Right. Yeah, because he can actually touchdown right exactly well he's getting he's getting targets from Tom Brady, not Marcus Mariotta. So that that is, you know, favorable for Cambra, and you mentioned Kate Dotton, that that's his only competition right now. They also lost o j Howard on top of Gron cleaving. Um. I would be a little bit more worried if they drafted, you know, Trey McBride and round two, but the fact that they waited, you know, round four to get kid onton that boats well, very well for Cam Braid. So I have no idea why he's still just the tight end twenty three right now. It's insane. I don't I don't think people have looked at these red zone targets. Can't listen. I know the red zone targets not the easiest thing to predict your over here, but it makes sense, right, Brady, you're gonna have just like you said, we're talking about Tom Brady, like this guy has a ton of upside. They're gonna move the ball up and down the field and now they're gonna need other guys to step up because you have no a b because God win's gonna be out. Russell Gay is not really a touchdown score. I mean, I wouldn't be surprised if he got like eight or nine because of Brady, but I would be equally not as surprised if Cam Braid got eight or nine because of Brady. So, uh yeah, I really like me some Cam Braid at tight end twenty three. All right, let's go to the main event. Let's talk stacks and you know, we as we talked about it earlier, this is something I think you have to do in...

Best Ball, uh, to not only differentiate your squad but really kind of lock in that upside and that that correlated correlated production that's going to get you to the top, because in best ball you're again you're self explaint or you're trying to be the best. Like you're not trying to just get to the playoffs, you're trying to be the highest scoring team in your league and depending on how you know, different type of formats you're playing in, that we could be, you know, twelver, it could be twelve thousand, but either way you're trying to really maximize that upside. So I do think you have to stack your pass catch just so with that in mind, we're gonna do two of our favorite stacks each so lead us off. So the first offense I love the stack is the Minnesota Vikings Um and you know, part of it has to do with they're changing their scheme. Um. They're moving on from a very defensive minded, conservative head coach and Mike Zimmer to, you know, more innovative Sean McVeigh disciple and Kevin O'CONNELL. So this this offense will likely mimic the rams all fense and be a bit more up tempo, pass heavy and, more importantly, you know, the targets are gonna be heavily concentrated. They're not gonna be rotating in wide receivers and tight ends Um. So I love stacking kirk cousins with hopefully you can get Justin Jefferson in the first round, but if not, guys like am feeling K J Osborne are pretty cheap Um and Er Smith a tight end. So I think, you know, drafting three or four of those guys on the same team offers you massive upside because that this offense should be a lot more fancy friendly and they just don't have much competition with, you know, other guys on the roster. So that I love that aspect as well, where you know all three receivers are probably gonna be running over routes. Run or Smith hopefully will be over. So these, all these four guys will be on the field most of the time. So I love stacking them up with Kirk cousins. Yeah, I like that. you know, Kirk cousins. I like investing in Minnesota in a variety of ways. I think you know, on the betting tip the I think they're under price to win the division at plus to her cousins through sixty eight touchdowns to twenty picks and Stretton Jefferson came in a late. So I like that one a lot. I think. I think O'Connor, this this offerse could blow up. I think Jefferson could have a Cooper Cup like season because o'conno oversaw that Um outam dealing. Seems should just not care about regression. Every year it's just like Adam thin was gonna regress. It's like another, another double digit touchdown year for him. Well, yeah, Oborn and Jefferson will get the ball down the field and feeling will just touch the touchdown right perfect. Uh No, I really like that one and I should also mention, as I get into my uh number one stack, that I think this is a time where you you really want to invest in those pocket pass there's two like and this is how you can kind of do it in a way that gives you some added upside, you know, because you're not always gonna get a Jalen hurt. You're not always gonna get it Daniel Jones, even late in the draft. You're not gonna get those kind of guys with that rushing up stide that we that we love of and so one way around that is to to increase the upside of your team is you take these pocket passers, but you stack them up and so you're really kind of hoping for to get those, you know, two or three or four pocket pastors that tend to pop and jump into that top twelve uh in production and then they should give you enough spike weeks to get it done. So with that in mind, Davante Adams, Darren Waller, Hunter Renfro, Derek Carr, I just love that one. I think Um, Derek Carr has, you know, played really well these last a couple of years. Even I think remember last year he had some Monster Games in terms of the yardage, and that was without Davante Adams here. So I really like that you can kind of these guys are all going at different parts of the draft that you can kind of scoop up, you know, Adams in round two and waller in round four and rent Rentfro in round six, and then you know car later on when when you're drafting your quarterback. Um. So none of them, you know, you're not really having to reach to to draft any of these guys. They're in such an explosive division where they play six games against Russell Wilson, Justin Herbert and, of course, Patrick Mahomes so, and the defense probably still won't be that great. And on top of that, the last receiver who you can you can kind of again, if you have that last roster spot open, you might even want to draft a Robinson or a Cuan Cole. But the whole thing is the targets should really be concentrated among Adam's, waller and Renfro um and that should be enough. So I really love Derek Carr Um with his top three. Yeah, I love it. I mean I can't believe you just recommended drafting demarcus Robinson, but I think it helps. It helps your stack because, like imagine he's in the you know, eleven formation, where he's out there running windsprints, not getting targets, just taking a defender with them. It's just gonna even more concentrate targets Adams, Renfro and Waller, which is what you want to stack like. They can take turns having a huge game, but you know every week it's one of those two or three of those guys are gonna...

...give you production. So yeah, I love the raiders stacked as well well. You got for a second one. So it's got to be the buccaneers stack right. I mean Tom Brady is a little too cheap right now. Um, Mike Evans is the most expensive player to stack, but he's well worth it right now. I mean he's gonna have a massive season. He's an ideal best ball target in himself. I mean he's a touchdown machine. Um. So the first you know, a few weeks for Chris Godwin's out. I mean Evans is gonna just go off. Um, you know, I like sneak and Russell Gauge in there. I agree with you. I don't think he's gonna be a huge touchdown scorer, but he should play that Antonio Brown roll get a ton of you know, receptions yards, and then Cam braight. Right now I just don't see the competition right now at tight end. So He's gonna get, you know, the Gronkowski and O J Howard targets are left behind. I'm not too worried about Kay dotton. You know, they drafted him in the fourth round. He's a rookie. Um. So I just love how much more concentrated the offense is going to be and how they're a lot cheaper than they were last year. Yeah, I love it. I mean you're getting Tom Brady down there at qb ten, so really you just gotta gonna Target Mike Evans early and then the other two guys are gonna be pretty easy to get. And like, yeah, I would, I would include Russell Gauge in there. I mean I don't think you can go with Godwin just because it doesn't really fit the strategy. But Um, love great and uh, I love Love Evans this year. I mean I think Evans is another guy kind of going under the radar. I know he's going highly in draft, but I think he don't even high. He even hire. He just doesn't ever disappoint. Um. So yeah, I love it. For me, I'M gonna go with kind of the four man's version of that, like with a quarterback who's kind of older and has M v P upside. But people are down on it and even I'm down on a regular redraft. But I think I did mention this. This is how I'm gonna attack Aaron Rodgers. It's gonna be in best ball stacks because I can get Rogers, you know, outside the top ten quarterbacks, and I can get any receiver I want outside the top a hundred picks, uh or or you know, I know wizard has been climbing in some weeks but Um, you're still getting them pretty late. So Aaron Rodgers, Alan Wizard and the rookie Christian Watson, are the three guys I think, Um, that I want to stack up and I think you can actually, and this is one of the one of the ones where you can get creative. Now, if you like, you know, maybe Romeo Dubes, if you like Randall Cobb, if you think you know any of those guys are gonna or even a Mari Rodgers. You can take a last round pick on one of those guys. I don't think you have to. But there's a lot of flexibility in terms of who you um use. I wouldn't use Tony in because I don't know, Um, I don't think we know when he's coming back, Um, and how good it will be, and he wasn't very good last year. But I mean even he's an option if if we get, um worried that he's going to play in the full season, which I don't think so at this point. But you can also even use Aaron Jones. I think this is one of the exceptions, because Aaron Rodgers had forty touchdowns last year. Thirty seven passing, three rushing, so that's four. That's forty touchdowns. Aaron Joe Ownes had ten touchdowns. So like now you're I mean they're just not many quarterback running back from combos that can give you fifty touchdown upside. Rogers and Jones can, and Aaron Jones caught six, six receiving touchdowns last year. So I think that's another way where, instead of trying to figure out, you know, if you want to go with like a third receiver or somebody like that, I think you just go. You could go Aaron Jones, Um you can get and then you can get Rogers wizard. I think it's gonna be locked in to one of the top three roles, probably top two, and then Christian Watson gives you that upside Um. You know, obviously they went up to get him. I don't really think he needs to mess with the slot guys because those aren't going to really give you, uh, you know, the yardage upside of though. We have seen Randall cops score kind of touchdowns in the past and but that was when he was a lot younger. So I don't know if that's gonna repeat. So yeah, like like like the Green Bay packers stack. I think this is the way you attack it in bestball and redraft it's a lot dicier and redraft them. It's kind of like more AJ dillon than anybody. Yea, I know you like Lazar too, but for me it's it's it's been more a j dillon and redrafted in in best ball. It's kind of the opposite. Jones, Rogers, Lazar. No, yeah, I love this. and Um, you know Rogers. His ceiling is obviously a lot lower without Davantae Adams and even Marquez, delda scantling Um. So you mentioned it earlier. You know, a guy like Rogers, he doesn't have as high of a ceiling. The one way to maximize that or raise it is to include a couple of pass catchers. So I do love the idea because Lizard and Watson are so cheap and let's let's face it, it's all like Rogers is gonna suck, he's not gonna finish outside of the top fifteen, he's gonna have his yards, he's gonna have his touchdown. So just like correctly guessing which two or three he's gonna be targeting. Um, you know, really raises the ceiling. So I think Rogers might be a little bit of a reach, but you're gonna get value with everybody else and then as a group. I mean the ceiling is massive. So that's that's what you're trying to do with a stack in general. So that's that's why the this is...

...a pretty sneaky one, is there? All Right? Well, that's uh, that's gonna do it for our best ball pod. That was some good stuff. Um, if you guys like the podcast, remember if you give us a five star review on Apple, we will you will be in the running to receive a free year of an action network pro subscription with our you know, season long, weekly rankings, draft kit, all that good stuff. So Um, be sure to do that. We really appreciate you guys are tuning in each and every week as we as we start ramping up headed towards the season. You can find Sean on twitter at the underscore oddsmaker. You can find me at Chriss Raybon R A Y B o n and you can find us at those same handles in the free award winning action network APP. UNTIL NEXT TIME WE'LL GET THIS MONEY.

In-Stream Audio Search

NEW

Search across all episodes within this podcast

Episodes (143)